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THE BURNING ISSUE 3: Small steps or one giant leap towards hydrogen?

How should we complete the journey towards large scale commercial use of hydrogen fuel cells: by taking many small steps or one giant leap? Should we continue to invest in compressed natural gas before reaching what many see as the ultimate goal: pure hydrogen for mobility? Or should we be placing our bets on – and directing all resources towards – quick development of market ready hydrogen fuel cells?

This issue is not merely smouldering, it is blazing.

If no common path can be agreed upon, investments in both paths will stuck at half of what is needed. In that case it is unlikely we will see either CNG buses that meet all market requirements (like a satisfactory driving radius) or large scale consumer use of hydrogen for mobility any time soon.

And a lack of industry investments would not be the only cause of slow development. The battle between blu-ray and HD DVD teaches that consumers are reluctant to invest in any other than the one new technology.

Betting at roulette

What would she do: spread her bet or everything on red?

Spread your bets
But then again, industry and governments alike are already spreading their bets, and over more than two systems, at that. Investments are not restricted to CNG and hydrogen, but include further development and dissemination of electric vehicles and biofuels and emissions filters and the promotion of cycling and walking.

Some say hydrogen fuel cells will never be commercially feasible. So until we are sure that they will be, further investments in other forms of sustainable mobility may be the wiser strategy.

Furthermore, there will always remain people adamant in their wish to keep filling up on CNG when the rest of the world is using hydrogen. We like to have a choice, whether between diesel and gasoline, or CNG and hydrogen.

Decide through discussion
So let's decide: should we continue taking intermediate steps, valuable in their own right, or do we venture one giant leap towards hydrogen? The issue is open to discussion!

Strong cases can be made for both sides and it is interesting to know who is thinking along which lines. To help you make up your mind, read some of the various pleas to be found in previous publications on MindsinMotion.net (see below).

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Comments

Transition!

No leapfrogging here: CNG is supportive for hydrogen and/or biogas (in whichever ratio these solutions will emerge). You can hardly jump to H2 all at once, but you can introduce CNG buses and add biogas and / or hydrogen to the CNG. Therewith, it is important that the H2 and biogas (made into natural gas quality) that is mixed with the CNG is made from sustainable sources. This way one gets hydrogen production and availability in gear and in the meantime Fuel Cells and batteries get some more time to mature.