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Backlash against biofuels continues

Two new studies, both from the US (should we be surprised?) have been published which conclude that almost all biofuels used today, if full life-cycle emissions are taken into account, cause more greenhouse gas emissions than conventional fuels.

The studies, published in Science, the magazine published by the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS), look at the consequences in terms of emissions of the global conversion of large amounts of land to grow biofuels.

Land use
The first report, Use of US croplands for biofuels increases greenhouse gases through emissions from land-use change¹ (there is a clue in the title!), concludes that corn-based ethanol, the most popular biofuel in the US, instead of producing the widely quoted 20 per cent greenhouse gas emissions savings, actually nearly doubles greenhouse emissions over 30 years and increases greenhouse gases for 167 years. By the same measure, biofuels from switchgrass, if grown on land formerly used to grow corn, increase emissions by 50 per cent.

This biofuel criticism from the US is starting to sound like old news...

Proposals
The EU and a number of European countries have recently tried to address the land use issue with proposals stipulating that imported biofuels cannot come from land that was previously rainforest. But even with restrictions in place, the study says that the purchase of biofuels in Europe and the US leads indirectly to the destruction of natural habitats elsewhere.

It cites the example of vegetable oil prices rising due to increased demand for biofuel crops, which leads to more land being cleared as farmers in developing countries try to take advantage of the higher prices.

Second generation
The second report, Land clearing and the biofuel carbon debt², takes a more international outlook but its main finding is similarly gloomy. It says that converting rainforests, peatlands, savannas or grasslands to produce food crop-based biofuels in Brazil, Southeast Asia and the United States, creates a ‘biofuel carbon debt’ by releasing 17 to 420 times more CO2 than the annual greenhouse gas reductions that these biofuels would provide by displacing fossil fuels.

However, the second report also has a less widely publicised secondary conclusion, one which will come as no surprise to those who follow the biofuels sector a little more closely. It found that biofuels made from waste biomass or from biomass grown on degraded and abandoned agricultural lands incur little or no carbon debt and can offer immediate and sustained greenhouse gas advantages.

Gentlemen, welcome to second generation biofuels…

1 T. Searchinger, R. Heimlich, R.A. Houghton, F. Dong, A. Elobeid, J. Fabiosa, S. Tokgoz, D. Hayes and T.-H. Yu, ‘Use of US Croplands for Biofuels Increases Greenhouse Gases Through Emissions from Land-Use Change’, Science 319, (2008) 1238-1240.
2 J. Fargione, J. Hill, D. Tilman, S. Polasky and P. Hawthorne, ‘Land clearing and the biofuel carbon debt’, Science 319,(2008) 1235 – 1238.

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Yes, but what ends up in my tank?

What I want to know in the end is what ends up in my tank. If there's a good chance that I help cutting down rainforest, then not thanks. Why can't we label "good" biofuels?

Backlash against biofuels

The articles in Science, and even more the upshot of them in the press, suggest that there is a clear-cut causal relationship between biofuels and the exploitation of tropical rain forests. This may be largely true in the case of palm oil farms in Indonesia and Malaysia, but hardly so in the case of sugar cane plantations in Brazil. In Brazil, demonstrably the rain forest is cut for tropical hardwood. The fallow land that results, is used for cattle, and only when these have degraded the land, sugar cane comes in. From this perspective, sugar cane is more an opportunity on land that is badly suitable to other uses, than a driving force in the demolition of rain forests. In that case, it is not correct to attribute CO2 emissions to biofuels.
Another case that is made in the Science publications is the poor CO2 yield of ethanol from corn. This is correct, and it is precisely because of this that the European Union has opposed this route. The US which are mainly interested in energy selfsufficiency, do not care primarily about CO2.
Other presuppositions lead to other results. In generalising the results of the Science studies to biofuels in general, and by application of US figures to Europe without discussion, the present upshot is indeed part of an unsubstatiated backlash.